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August 9, 2006

Strib Speaks Out against Oil...Again

The liberal wankers at the are at it again: denouncing oil and not offering any alternatives.

Here's a gem from the article:

The answer isn't more drilling, as some conservatives urged in the wake of BP's shutdown of Alaska's Prudhoe Bay field. That would be like giving a bigger meal to a fat man. What's needed is a new direction.

They are against "Big Oil" because oil companies are capitalistic by nature (never mind that news papers are also capitalistic endeavors…we never here about "Big Media" and their record profits). Drilling oil in ANWR as well as the outer continental shelf will go a long way toward alleviating the current fuel crunch.

Natural gas prices have also skyrocketed as the demand by electrical plants has increased, especially since many existing generators as well as new plants have switched from "dirty-polluting" coal to "clean" natural gas. This has put a strain on winter time heating budgets as the vast majority of homes are heated by natural gas, hurting the poor the most.

One thing that would help there is building new (and modern) clean burning nuclear power plants, thus reducing the demand for natural gas to electrical power plants. But the left, the self-proclaimed "guardians of the poor and down-trodden" block all attempts to build new nuclear power plants. It's okay for France, Germany, China and Iran to have them, but not here in the good ol' U.S. of A.

As for oil, the left, and the so-called "guardians of truth", the Main Stream Media, want to reduce our dependence on foreign oil (which I applaud) but refuse to consider opening up ANWR or other oil rich areas to development.

At least they recognize that global demand for oil is up, and site China as one example (India's demand has gone up 400% over the last 20 or so years), and that much of the world's currently tapped oil supplies are in unstable totalitarian countries, like Saudi Arabia, Iran, and Venezuela.

But where are their ideas for alternatives? They do not present any! Time to open up ANWR and the outer continental shelf as well as build more nuclear power plants.

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May 1, 2006

Gasoline Nearly $3 Per Gallon

With the price of crude oil hitting the $75 per barrel mark, and gasoline at the pump running near the $3 per gallon level, there is a lot of finger pointing at (you guessed it) the Bush administration and the Republican Party. Putting the finger pointing aside, let's look at a few basic facts:

The price of crude oil (as well as gasoline) is controlled by supply and demand.

The United States imports a large amount of crude oil to meet demands.

Refinery capacities are unable to keep up with the demands of a growing population. This is further acerbated when some disaster, whether natural hurricane Katrina) or due to accident and fire, shuts down some refineries, which results in limited supplies as production capacity drops. Add to this the continued blocking of construction of new refineries by the leftist-controlled environmental groups.

Developing countries, such as India, are putting forth greater demands for oil (and gasoline) on the already constrained supply line.

The geo-political instability of a number a number of oil exporting nations, such as Iran (and the Middle-East as a whole) and Venezuela, among others, has a detrimental effect on the price of crude oil.

The continued blockading of drilling for oil on a small site within the Arctic National Wildlife Refuge, as well as preventing offshore drilling in the out-continental shelf.

The false belief that energy problems can be resolved through: conservation, "green power," transitioning to ethanol based fuels, or switching to alternative fuel vehicles, such as hybrid-electric or hydrogen fuel-cell vehicles.

In case you haven't noticed, hybrid vehicles are substantially more expensive than comparable vehicles of the same class. The price differential may be recovered over the long haul with lower annual fuel costs, however they still use gasoline. Better gas mileage (which varies, depending on type of vehicle), but higher up front purchase costs. These are doable options for some folks (and I have several friends with hybrids), but the high entry cost makes it uneconomical for most Americans, even with current tax incentives. For some, however, it is a viable option, especially for someone like myself who drives 500 miles per week.

Even flex-fuel vehicles have a gasoline component. And bear in mind that ethanol does not burn as hot as gasoline, there for fuel consumption is actually higher. See FuelEconomy.gov for more details.

Hydrogen fuel cell is the wave of the future, but they are not prime time by any means. Nor are they readily available and such vehicles have a limited driving range. Currently, the Ford Focus looks to have a slight edge. One other issue: they are available on a lease only basis to a limited number of organizations that have access to hydrogen fuel.

Until the chokehold that the leftist-controlled environmentalist lobby has on the domestic drilling of oil can be broken, it is unlikely that we will see crude oil at $20 per barrel again. Especially with the growing world-wide hunger for fuel.

February 6, 2005

Peak Oil?

This is in part a follow-up to the recent townhall meetup that took place last week. We were all intrduced to a graph on peak oil production, produced by PeakOil.org. Tracy has also written about this site on his blog, Anti-Strib, and is well worht a read.

Edmund Contoski, in his book Makers and Takers, sites that current oil reserves are estimated to last 250-300 years, natural gas, at current consumption rates, will last another 600 years, coal, 2,500 years, and there is enough shale oil to last 40,000 years. This doesn't even take into account the amount of uranium and how longthat will last with current breeder reactor technologies.

If we want oil and natural gas reserves to be stretched out over longer periods of time, then we need to expand the use of nuclear energy. Doing so will have two net effects: 1) natural gas, which many electric generation plants are now using instead of coal, will have a reduced rate of consumption; 2) since nearly every home relies on natural gas for winter heating, the cost will be dramatically lower as hoome owneres won't be directly competing with pwoer companies for the supply of natural gas. Less usage, less demand, more supply, equals lower prices. This will benefit the poor the most as they are typically the ones who are hit hardest as prices shyrocket wiht winter demand.

Back to the peak oil concept. This has been going on since the 1920s, when predictions were made "that only seven billion barrels of oil remained in the United States. By 1943 four times that amount had been consumed..." The trend continues to this day, with proven oil reserves increasing every few years as oil exploration uncovers new deposits, and technology advances enabling extraction from deeper oil fields.

InfoPlease has a chart listing the Proven Oil Reserves For 2003 for the top 10 known reserves. It does not include sites like ANWR. A second chart lists Top Rank Producers for the same period. The CIA World Fact Book also lists a chart on Proven Oil Reserves for 2002, with worldwide estimates of about 1 trillion barrels of oil.

After perusing the peak oil site, one has to ask: what do they propose to do? It is heavily slanted towards doom-and-gloom, as are many of the sites and articles it references, without providing any solutions, or acknolwedging that technological advances keeps changing the date of when peak oil production will hit.

Actually, it is entertaining exploring some of the linked sites. One site, peakoil.com, which kind of ounds like a sister site, is running a poll "would you serve if drafted?" The majority of respondents said no, or, one choice quote: "I would definitely serve if I was drafted to do something useful, like reforesting denuded hillsides or teaching rural Nigerians about birth control. I would be unlikely to agree to serve in Bush's corporate war machine." The comments are riddled with idiotic statements like that one, and profanity.

And still no solutions to the "oncoming energy crisis."

December 11, 2004

Nuclear Energy

Right now I am reading the novel The Last Heroes by W.E.B. Griffin. It's about the beginnings of the O.S.S. in World War 2. There are a couple of reasons I picked up this book, first of which I used to know a man who was in the O.S.S. during WW2, and the thrust of the novel is obtaining Uranium for atomic energy and weapons. Energy for the Navy, as that is the main obstacle for naval forces: fuel. Weaponry to defeat our enemies.

This is not meant to be a book review, but some thoughts on nuclear energy. In part, this is prompted by an article this week in Christian Science Monitor on Fusion Reactors.

The article discusses the current state of research and what the near future looks like, and it looks bright.

One of the biggest challenges in harnessing nuclear fusion is containing and controlling an environment where temperatures are 100 million degrees Celsius. That's hot! However, with the tremendous advancements that have taken place in technology, computers in particular, it has become possible to model what such an environment would look like and design equipment to control it.

For years, researchers worried that at the energy levels ITER was aiming for, the plasma would fail to remain stable or that the magnetic fields would fail to keep the plasma bottled up.

But since the mid-'90s, technological advances have yielded fresh insights into the way such reactors can operate. They include improved test equipment, new ways to tweak the reactions from outside the reactor vessel, and more-powerful computers that model the conditions in the reactors. "Now we know what we're looking at," Goldston says.

For example, when the plasma grows turbulent, it forms eddies and the plasma cools. Researchers had a difficult time figuring out what determined the size of the eddies and how to control them. With the added computational horsepower and the new instruments, they determined the factors that controlled their size. Just as important, they found that they could apply more push to the flowing plasma than the system would generate on its own, shearing off the eddies almost before they got started.

This, to me, is exciting stuff, as nuclear fusion may soon be moving from the realm of Science Fiction to reality. A limitless supply of clean electricity, enough to supply all the world's needs until the end of time.

This article also prompted me to look back at the current state of nuclear energy, the fission of uranium molecules.

Fission has remained unpopular in the United States for decades, and I have never understood the hysteria against nuclear energy. True, there have been a few accidents involving nuclear reactors, most notable was the Chernobyl disaster in the ‘80s. That particular accident was due to a very bad and risky design, which resulted in the reactor entering a run away reaction that, to coin a phrase, blew the lid off of the place.

However, it seems to be that one of the main drivers is a fear of nuclear proliferation, which resulted, during the Carter Administration, in the U.S. abandoning the reprocessing of spent fuel rods. You see, it turns out that one of the by-products of reprocessing fuel rods, plutonium, as well as residual uranium, can be used in the development of nuclear weapons. This was the driving reason for shutting down the nuclear energy industry in the United States.

There is an additional side effect of abandoning the reprocessing of spent fuel rods: economic stagnation. It causes the costs for running our nuclear power plants to go up as they have to store more radioactive material, instead of transferring these materials to a place where they can be safely reprocessed.

It is interesting to note that there are several European countries, including France, that have fuel reprocessing plants.

France uses nuclear reactors to generate most of its electricity, Germany receives nearly a third of its electricity from nuclear power plants. Not to mention the United States Navy, as most ships and submarines are nuclear powered.

Should the U.S. resume building nuclear power plants? Look at the increase in the costs of natural gas to heat your homes (I have geothermal, so no gas here) and cooking (where people have gas ranges). The prices have gone up, mainly because power generation plants have been switching from coal to natural gas to generate electricity. As the demand for natural gas continues to escalate, especially during the winter months, the higher the price for natural gas.

This is a very good reason to revitalize the nuclear energy industry. By building more plants, and modern designs are far safer than the designs from the ‘50s and ‘60s, we can easily reduce, and eventually eliminate the need for coal burning plants, thus eliminating the "green-house" gases the environmentalists are always up in arms about (and the driver for the move from coal to natural gas) as well as eliminate the need for natural gas in energy generation, thus causing a drop in the price of gas for winter heating.

Sure, the environmentalists will tell you to switch to solar and wind, but electricity from those technologies still costs more than other means of generating electricity, and although it is "green" energy, the process to make the parts needed is not a green process. And it is not cheap technology to implement, nor is it cost effective.

As I mentioned above, I have geothermal to heat and cool my house. Neat technology. I have looked at photovoltaic (solar) and wind, and, yes, I may implement one or both of those as well, just to reduce my reliance on outside sources (going "off grid"), however, it definitely is not cheap.

Nuclear energy still remains the most cost effective means of generating energy. Nuclear waste can be better handled by the re-introduction of reprocessing plants in the United States, as well as a move to other, more modern, power plant designs will increase safety and decrease per kilowatt costs.

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