Fair Tax Plan
I have been giving some thoughts to the "Fair Tax" plan being pushed by various Libertarians and others. As it is a consumption tax, I am, in general, favorable to it, especially as a replacement to the current tax on income and property. Based on what I know, and feel free to correct me in the comments section, the plan calls to incorporate the tax in the final price of goods and services at 23%, and then provide some sort of monthly rebate to cover spending up to the poverty level based on household size.
First, I would be very leery of the Fair Tax plan being passed as anything other than a Constitutional Amendment that simultaneously repeals the 16th Amendment, which is what gave the Federal Government the power to tax income. Anything short of this positions the Federal government to go "double-down" and hit Americans with continued income taxation AND consumption tax via the "Fair Tax." The understanding I have is that the current plans call for implementing the "Fair Tax" as legislative law, and then put a sunset clause on it so as to provide a timeframe to repeal the 16th Amendment. One problem with this plan is that sunset clauses have a tendency to be extended until they are, for all intents and purposes, become permanent, and then we would have both income taxes and consumption taxes.
Second, the plan calls for the tax to be built into the final price such that 23% of the price is tax revenue: $100 of product includes a $23 tax. The problems here are that it is lacks transparency as you don't "see" the tax on the product as you do with conventional sales taxes, and you are actually paying closer to a 30% sales tax (100-23=77, 23/77=29.87, tax is rounded to 29.9%). It would be more transparent to apply the same rate, 29.9%, to the total purchase price. The end result is the same as far as tax revenue based on purchases, however, by having it added on so that you see how much the tax is, it becomes transparent and less likely to mucked with by Congress without the knowledge of the electorate. I think that this is important as if it is included in the final purchase price, and not separated, most people would not notice any increase in taxation should Congress decide to be greedy and push it up to 35%. Nor would we notice should Congress develop the wisdom to reduce such a tax to 25%. Transparency in taxation is critical!
The tax would only apply to the purchase of new goods and excluded from the resale of used goods, such as the '66 Mustang convertible, or that beat-up copy of a good book. This makes since, and will stimulate the purchase of many types of used goods, and will be a boon to eBay sellers. This part of the plan makes a lot of since as demand for some types of used goods will go up some, with the price going up accordingly, to help counter-balance the taxes on the purchase of new, similar products. Basically, will you be better off buying a 2006 Mustang convertible with 20,000 miles on it where the tax has already been paid, or buying that brand new 2009 Mustang convertible and paying the tax? Depends on product availability and the desires of each individual consumer.
The rebate to counter spending up to the poverty level, although good on paper, will meet with substantial resistance in that it can be argued that it is setting up a new welfare system and includes payments to all Americans, regardless of household income. It also requires a certain amount of government bureaucracy to maintain it, and government to determine at what rate the rebate will be in subsequent years, based on changes in inflation and poverty level.
A better approach may be what is used in many states that currently have a sales tax, rather than having a rebate plan based on spending up to the poverty line. I'll use the Minnesota model as it will make more since for the implementation of a national sales tax. Food purchased at the grocery store (or similar) should be exempt, except when purchased at a restaurant. Going to McDonald's and buying a hamburger is taxed, just as a nice steak dinner from Timberlodge. Going to the store and purchasing buns, meat, lettuce, tomatoes, etc., would not be taxed. Same would be true for "take and bake" purchases (Papa Murphy's!). Most clothing should not be taxed, with the exception of formal wear. You don't need a tuxedo for every day living, but we all need basic work-a-day clothing, whether we're talking jeans and a shirt or a suit and tie.
The plan also calls on taxing all services. I would probably want to put an exception in place for lawyers, not because I like them, but because having access to legal advice has become such a necessity in our daily lives that placing a hefty tax on their services would be a big burden on people who need them the most: people struggling to make a living. This would be especially true for family law attorneys. Besides, all of those tax attorneys will need to respecialize in a new field with the elimination of income and corporate taxes, or they'll end up flipping burgers at McDonalds. Hmm…on the other hand, that may not be such a bad idea.
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